- While we would not be surprised to see the S&P 500 stock price index pull back further from its all-time closing high achieved on September 2, 2021, keep in mind that bear markets are typically associated with significant economic disruption, which we do not anticipate occurring anytime soon.
- If anything, we think such dips should serve as reminders that maintaining a disciplined approach in all market environments should help investors stay on the path to achieving their long-term investment objectives.
The latest bull-market cycle began during the worst phase of the economic cycle, as is often the case. Many countries were locking down their economies as deaths from COVID-19 were rising in uncontrolled fashion in the northeastern U.S. and throughout Europe. When it became clear that massive monetary and fiscal support was on its way, markets responded immediately in anticipation of a successful rescue effort.
What has perhaps been more surprising is the relentlessness of the global stock-market rally over the past 18 months, with the S&P 500 setting the pace. As illustrated in Exhibit 1, despite ongoing challenges—such as the repeated waves of new COVID-19 infections around the world; the persistent shortages of goods and labour; ever-surging inflation rates; and the imminent fading of government economic relief—the bull market has continued its advance. In fact, the S&P 500 Index managed to avoid even a minor dip of 5% until the last trading session of September, when it posted a 5.06% drop from its all-time closing high achieved September 2, 2021. It had been almost a full year since this measure of the stock market last recorded a drop of 5% or more.DOWNLOAD THE FULL COMMENTARY
- Growth stocks exhibit steady earnings growth above that of the broader market.
- High-multiple companies have stock prices that are high relative to their level of earnings.
- Momentum refers to a trend-following investment strategy that is based on acquiring assets with recent improvement in their price, earnings, or other relevant fundamentals.
- Value refers to a mean-reverting investment strategy based on acquiring assets at a discount to their fair valuation.
- The S&P 500 Index is an unmanaged, market-weighted index that consists of approximately 500 of the largest publicly traded U.S. companies and is considered representative of the broad U.S. stock market.
- The S&P 500 Growth Index measures the performance of growth stocks in the S&P 500 Index.
- The S&P 500 Momentum Index measures the performance of securities in the S&P 500 Index that exhibit persistence in their relative performance.
- The S&P 500 Quality Index measures the performance of high quality stocks in the S&P 500 Index by quality score, which is calculated based on return on equity, accruals ratio and financial leverage ratio.
- The S&P 500 Value Index measures the performance of value stocks in the S&P 500 Index.
SEI Investments Canada Company, a wholly owned subsidiary of SEI Investments Company, is the investment fund manager and portfolio manager of the SEI Funds in Canada.
The information contained herein is for general and educational information purposes only and is not intended to constitute legal, tax, accounting, securities, research or investment advice regarding the Funds or any security in particular, nor an opinion regarding the appropriateness of any investment. This information should not be construed as a recommendation to purchase or sell a security, derivative or futures contract. You should not act or rely on the information contained herein without obtaining specific legal, tax, accounting and investment advice from an investment professional. This material represents an assessment of the market environment at a specific point in time and is not intended to be a forecast of future events, or a guarantee of future results. There is no assurance as of the date of this material that the securities mentioned remain in or out of the SEI Funds.
This material may contain "forward-looking information" ("FLI") as such term is defined under applicable Canadian securities laws. FLI is disclosure regarding possible events, conditions or results of operations that is based on assumptions about future economic conditions and courses of action. FLI is subject to a variety of risks, uncertainties and other factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from expectations as expressed or implied in this material. FLI reflects current expectations with respect to current events and is not a guarantee of future performance. Any FLI that may be included or incorporated by reference in this material is presented solely for the purpose of conveying current anticipated expectations and may not be appropriate for any other purposes.
Information contained herein that is based on external sources or other sources is believed to be reliable, but is not guaranteed by SEI Investments Canada Company, and the information may be incomplete or may change without notice. Sources include Bloomberg, FactSet, MorningStar and BlackRock.
There are risks involved with investing, including loss of principal. Diversification may not protect against market risk. There may be other holdings which are not discussed that may have additional specific risks. In addition to the normal risks associated with investing, international investments may involve risk of capital loss from unfavourable fluctuation in currency values, from differences in generally accepted accounting principles or from economic or political instability in other nations. Emerging markets involve heightened risks related to the same factors, in addition to those associated with their relatively small size and lesser liquidity. Bonds and bond funds will decrease in value as interest rates rise.
Index returns are for illustrative purposes only, and do not represent actual performance of an SEI Fund. Index returns do not reflect any management fees, transaction costs or expenses. Indexes are unmanaged and one cannot invest directly in an index.
Commissions, trailing commissions, management fees and expenses all may be associated with mutual fund investments. Please read the prospectus before investing. Mutual funds are not guaranteed, their values change frequently and past performance may not be repeated.